Understanding Determinants of Making Airline Entry and Exit Decisions: Application of Logit Models

Main Article Content

Canh Nguyen
Cuong Nguyen

Abstract

Understanding patterns of entry and exit decisions and determinants shaping the patterns are necessary for airline planners in drawing a robust route map and gaining their own competitive advantages.  The study used logit models to exam the relationship between two separate binary dependent variables: entry versus no-entry, exit versus no-exit, and multiple independent variables.  Dataset was extracted from the Bureau of Transportation Statistics DB1B for Quarter 1 of 2018, then was reconstructed based on original and destination (O&D) airport pairs to gain insights.  The entry decision pattern model yielded seven significant factors: total passengers, average market fare, number of carriers, distance, low-cost carriers (LCC) existence, origin hub, and destination hub.  In the meantime, the exit decision pattern model yielded all the seven aforementioned factors and two other significant factors: route type and the business model of the largest share airline.  The findings made a practical implication to airline network planners in considering determinants affecting entry and exit decisions to build a more efficient and profitable network.

Article Details

Section
Peer-Reviewed Articles
Author Biographies

Canh Nguyen, Florida Institute of Technology

Ph.D. Candidate in Aviation Sciences in College of Aeronautics, Florida Institute of Technology (FIT)

Cuong Nguyen, Ho Chi Minh City University of Technology (HUTECH)

Lecturer in Logistics Management and Supply Chain, School of Business Administration, Ho Chi Minh City University of Technology (HUTECH)