Recurring Event Sequences in Instructional Fixed-Wing General Aviation Accidents A Sequence Analysis of National Transportation Safety Board Accident Reports, 2020-2025
Main Article Content
Abstract
Accident classifications identify what happened during a flight, but they may reveal less about how an accident developed. This study examined 728 source-verified instructional fixed-wing general aviation accidents in the United States from 2020 through 2025. Each accident was classified by training context and accident category, then coded as an ordered sequence of events based on the available accident record. Landing and ground-control accidents were the most common, followed by power-loss or mechanical events and loss of control during takeoff or initial climb. Frequently observed sequences involved directional-control loss during landing, bounced or hard landings, landing-gear failures, and loss of control during attempted go-arounds. Accident distributions also differed between dual and solo instructional contexts. Some reports did not contain enough detail to support a specific sequence, so these cases were retained in a residual category rather than assigned a more precise classification. The findings show that examining the order in which events unfold can reveal recurring operational patterns that broad accident categories may conceal. These patterns may help guide further research and the review of flight-training practices, particularly in landing control, go-around decisions, and responses to mechanical or power-loss events.
Article Details
References
AOPA Air Safety Institute. (2021a). Fatal flight training accident report 2000-2019: Executive summary. Aircraft Owners and Pilots Association.
AOPA Air Safety Institute. (2021b). Fatal flight training accident report 2000-2019: Accident analysis. Aircraft Owners and Pilots Association.
CAST/ICAO Common Taxonomy Team. (2004). Aviation occurrence categories: Definitions and usage notes. Commercial Aviation Safety Team and International Civil Aviation Organization.
Federal Aviation Administration. (2020). Fly Safe: Prevent loss of control accidents. U.S. Department of Transportation.
Federal Aviation Administration. (2022). Airplane Flying Handbook (FAA-H-8083-3C). U.S. Department of Transportation.
FAA Safety Team. (2017). Stabilized approach. General Aviation Joint Steering Committee Safety Enhancement Topic.
Houston, S. J., Walton, R. O., & Conway, B. A. (2012). Analysis of general aviation instructional loss of control accidents. Journal of Aviation/Aerospace Education & Research, 22(1), 35-49. https://doi.org/10.15394/jaaer.2012.1402
International Civil Aviation Organization. (n.d.). Accident/incident data reporting taxonomy.
National Transportation Safety Board. (n.d.). CAROL: Case Analysis and Reporting Online.
National Transportation Safety Board. (1998). Aviation coding manual. National Transportation Safety Board.
National Transportation Safety Board. (2015). Prevent loss of control in flight in general aviation.
National Transportation Safety Board. (2016). Prevent loss of control in flight in general aviation.
Shappell, S. A., & Wiegmann, D. A. (2000). The Human Factors Analysis and Classification System--HFACS (DOT/FAA/AM-00/7). Federal Aviation Administration Office of Aviation Medicine.
Walach, M. F. (2023). Safety in flight training: An analysis of the NTSB data 2014-2018. Journal of Aviation/Aerospace Education & Research, 32(3). https://doi.org/10.58940/2329-258X.1954
Wiegmann, D. A., Faaborg, T., Boquet, A., Detwiler, C., Holcomb, K., & Shappell, S. A. (2005). Human error and general aviation accidents: A comprehensive, fine-grained analysis using HFACS (DOT/FAA/AM-05/24). Federal Aviation Administration Office of Aerospace Medicine.